FA Cup , Barnet V Burton Albion

[PyroliMadrik]

Replay . First leg 1-1 .

I cannot say Barnet is a huge favorite , odds are not reflecting reality . There is a value in backing away team , undefeated in N L 1 Conference in away fixtures ( 4-6-0 18-10 ) . In the last 3 games played away from home Burton produced some high scoring games :

Nov 17, 07 Exeter - Burton 1-4 ; ( first defeat for Exeter at home )

Nov 10, 07 Halifax - Burton 0-4 ( FA Cup ) ;

Oct 18, 07 Stevenage - Burton 3-3 ( Stevenage 3rd place ) .

Barnet from League Two , middle table , beat League One team Gillingham 2-1 in the previous round of this competiton . They draw 2-2 last home match with Macclesfield Town , I could say a positive result because team is not in good shape losing two rounds ago 0-3 @ Chester City and losing to poor Grimsby at home 0-3 on Nov 24 .

Acording to BBC Barnet will stick with 32-year-old striker Giuliano Grazioli after his first start of the season in Saturday's 2-2 draw with Macclesfield.

Adam Birchall will return to partner Grazioli up front while Neal Bishop will keep his place in midfield .

I predict here more than 3 goals , I will also try away win at tasty odds , difference between teams , only one league , Barnet middle position in League Two and Burton 5th place in N L 1 Conference , still unbeatem away from home . I believe both teams will score so Im going to bet on goals , over 2.5 with Pinnacle right now because I expect odds to drop < 1.90 , other bookies have < 2.0 so this bet on odds evens it is a value . :wink:

Over 2.5 goals @ 2.08 . Pinnacle . 8/10


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